{"id":6089,"date":"2022-01-06T20:24:22","date_gmt":"2022-01-06T20:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mediateka.online\/learnrussian\/for-kazakhstans-autocratic-neighbors-unrest-is-a-warning-and-a-test.html"},"modified":"2022-01-06T20:24:22","modified_gmt":"2022-01-06T20:24:26","slug":"for-kazakhstans-autocratic-neighbors-unrest-is-a-warning-and-a-test","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mediateka.online\/learnrussian\/for-kazakhstans-autocratic-neighbors-unrest-is-a-warning-and-a-test.html","title":{"rendered":"For Kazakhstan&#8217;s Autocratic Neighbors, Unrest Is A Warning And A Test"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-e961-08d9d0ea540f_cx0_cy2_cw0_w250_r1_s.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" itemprop=\"url\" alt=\"KAZAKHSTAN-PROTESTS\/ -- Troops are seen at the main square where hundreds of people were protesting against the government, after authorities&#039; decision to lift price caps on liquefied petroleum gas, in Almaty, Kazakhstan January 6, 2022. REUTERS\/Mariya Go\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-e961-08d9d0ea540f_cx0_cy2_cw0_w250_r1_s.jpg\" itemprop=\"url\" alt=\"KAZAKHSTAN-PROTESTS\/ -- Troops are seen at the main square where hundreds of people were protesting against the government, after authorities&#039; decision to lift price caps on liquefied petroleum gas, in Almaty, Kazakhstan January 6, 2022. REUTERS\/Mariya Go\"><\/noscript>     KAZAKHSTAN-PROTESTS\/ &#8212; Troops are seen at the main square where hundreds of people were protesting against the government, after authorities&#39; decision to lift price caps on liquefied petroleum gas, in Almaty, Kazakhstan January 6, 2022. REUTERS\/Mariya Go         &nbsp;                   <\/p>\n<p>The first flights carrying Russian troops to Kazakhstan to help the embattled government quell an unprecedented wave of unrest and armed clashes arrived in Almaty, the Central Asian country\u2019s largest city, early in the morning on January 6.<\/p>\n<p>They are part of a \u201cpeacekeeping\u201d force sent via the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) &#8212; a Moscow-led military bloc of which Kazakhstan is a member &#8212; and come at the invitation of Kazakh President Qasym-Zhomart Toqaev, who requested the troops after a televised address on January 5 in which he called the demonstrators \u201ca band of international terrorists\u201d that he claimed were trained abroad and were \u201cundermining the integrity of the state.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The arrival of Russian and Belarusian, Armenian, Tajik, and Kyrgyz troops under the guise of the CSTO marks a new chapter in a quickly evolving crisis that has threatened the authoritarian government in Kazakhstan and left its autocratic neighbors &#8212; from Uzbekistan to Belarus to Russia &#8212; watching anxiously as Central Asia\u2019s richest country has been pushed to the brink.<\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/8a6b149d-fbec-40b7-9ccc-691ab1edc119_w250_r1_s.gif\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/8a6b149d-fbec-40b7-9ccc-691ab1edc119_w250_r1_s.gif\"><\/noscript>      <\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe see an increased resolve from Russia to come support their clients or loyal allies,\u201d Alexander Gabuev, a senior fellow at the Moscow Carnegie Center, told RFE\/RL. \u201cIf successful, this will reinforce the role of Russia as the main security guarantor in the region.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Initially sparked by a peaceful outcry over a fuel-price rise on January 2, the protests quickly spread across the oil-rich country of 19 million and swelled to take in wider discontent with Toqaev and Nursultan Nazarbaev, his predecessor who ruled for nearly 30 years and kept significant powers after stepping down in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>     <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-33bc-08d9d0df28a7_cx0_cy15_cw0_w250_r1_s.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"PHOTOS: Russian Troops Depart For Kazakhstan As Soldiers In Almaty Open Fire\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-33bc-08d9d0df28a7_cx0_cy15_cw0_w250_r1_s.jpg\" alt=\"PHOTOS: Russian Troops Depart For Kazakhstan As Soldiers In Almaty Open Fire\"><\/noscript>      Photo Gallery: PHOTOS: Russian Troops Depart For Kazakhstan As Soldiers In Almaty Open Fire                                       <\/p>\n<ul class=\"links__list links__list--c-lightbox\">  RFE\/RL  <\/ul>\n<p>   Images released by the Russian military show troops departing for Kazakhstan amid deadly anti-government protests in the Central Asian country. January 6 also saw scores of unidentified military personnel shooting automatic weapons in downtown Almaty.       <\/p>\n<p>Anger over rising prices, dimming economic prospects, entrenched corruption, and autocratic rule have fueled the uprising and helped spark unrest that has seen government buildings, TV stations, airports, and businesses stormed by thousands of protesters.<\/p>\n<p>As the Kazakh government now turns to external help in the form of the CSTO and deploys its own troops to suppress protesters as part of an \u201canti-terrorist operation,\u201d events in the country are set to reverberate across the region, where they\u2019re seen as both a warning and a test for other like-minded regimes.<\/p>\n<p>That holds particularly true for Russia, where President Vladimir Putin &#8212; informed by previous popular movements against Kremlin-aligned governments in Ukraine in 2014 and Belarus in 2020 &#8212; has backed an unprecedented mission to support a beleaguered partner.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think that [Moscow] can afford the departure of Toqaev and there is a determination on display to use any tool necessary to prop up the regime,\u201d said Gabuev.<\/p>\n<p>Regional Reaction<\/p>\n<p>The decision to send CSTO troops into Kazakhstan was announced by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian, the current chairman of the organization, who said in a statement that the forces would be stationed in the country only \u201cfor a limited time period\u201d until order could be restored and would primarily focus on protecting infrastructure. Moscow also sent paratroopers, the organization said.<\/p>\n<p>The move marks the first time since the alliance was founded in 1999 that it has agreed to deploy military forces to support a member.<\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-9424-08d9d0f5ed47_w250_r0_s.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"Russian airborne troops bound for Kazakhstan board a transport plane at Chkalovsky Airfield, northeast of Moscow, on January 6.\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Russian airborne troops bound for Kazakhstan board a transport plane at Chkalovsky Airfield, northeast of Moscow, on January 6.\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-9424-08d9d0f5ed47_w250_r0_s.jpg\"><\/noscript>     Russian airborne troops bound for Kazakhstan board a transport plane at Chkalovsky Airfield, northeast of Moscow, on January 6.    <\/p>\n<p>The CSTO, which consists of Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan, has refused requests for troops in the past, including during ethnic unrest in Kyrgyzstan in 2010 and in Armenia in 2021 amid an armed conflict with Azerbaijan.<\/p>\n<p>There is no indication that the crisis in Kazakhstan has any external origin, but the purported terrorist threat that Kazakh authorities have blamed for the violence appears to have been enough justification for the CSTO to intervene.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis shows the special role that Kazakhstan plays in Russian foreign policy,\u201d said Gabuev.<\/p>\n<p>      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/32bcd8c1-c42e-458e-ac0e-68b9aef4a9c5_tv_w250_r1.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"What&#039;s Behind The State Of Emergency And Protests Erupting Across Kazakhstan?\" title=\"What&#039;s Behind The State Of Emergency And Protests Erupting Across Kazakhstan?\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/32bcd8c1-c42e-458e-ac0e-68b9aef4a9c5_tv_w250_r1.jpg\" alt=\"What&#039;s Behind The State Of Emergency And Protests Erupting Across Kazakhstan?\" title=\"What&#039;s Behind The State Of Emergency And Protests Erupting Across Kazakhstan?\"><\/noscript>        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"\/Content\/responsive\/img\/player-spinner.png\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"please wait\" title=\"please wait\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/Content\/responsive\/img\/player-spinner.png\" alt=\"please wait\" title=\"please wait\"><\/noscript>             Embed    share        What&#39;s Behind The State Of Emergency And Protests Erupting Across Kazakhstan?        Embed    share           The code has been copied to your clipboard.         width  px   height  px              The URL has been copied to your clipboard                        <\/p>\n<p class=\"ta-c\">No media source currently available<\/p>\n<p>               0:00  0:03:18             0:00                                            <\/p>\n<p>The announcement of the CSTO deployment came just hours after Dmitry Peskov, Putin\u2019s spokesman, said it was important that no foreign countries interfered in Kazakhstan.<\/p>\n<p>Toqaev had also spoken earlier with Belarusian leader Alyaksandr Lukashenka, who brutally crushed a popular pro-democracy movement in 2020 and has since relied heavily on Russian economic and political support to stay in power.<\/p>\n<p>The Uzbek Foreign Ministry has issued a statement supporting the Kazakh government, with Tashkent calling for the crisis to be handled \u201cindependently\u201d and \u201cwithout outside interference.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The protests are also a source of anxiety for China, which has used Kazakhstan as the launching pad for its Belt and Road Initiative and invested billions in the country over the last decade.<\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08810000-0a00-0242-6b06-08d9d10d46c6_w250_r0_s.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"Former Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbaev (left) stands with to Russian President Vladimir Putin (second from right) and Chinese President Xi Jinping (right) at a military parade in Beijing in 2015 in Beijing.\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Former Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbaev (left) stands with to Russian President Vladimir Putin (second from right) and Chinese President Xi Jinping (right) at a military parade in Beijing in 2015 in Beijing.\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08810000-0a00-0242-6b06-08d9d10d46c6_w250_r0_s.jpg\"><\/noscript>     Former Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbaev (left) stands with to Russian President Vladimir Putin (second from right) and Chinese President Xi Jinping (right) at a military parade in Beijing in 2015 in Beijing.    <\/p>\n<p>Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said on January 6 that events in Kazakhstan were an internal affair and that Beijing hopes the situation will stabilize soon.<\/p>\n<p>Hu Xijin, an influential Chinese nationalist commentator who recently stepped down as editor in chief of the state-run tabloid Global Times, wrote on social media that the unrest in Kazakhstan was similar to a \u201ccolor revolution,\u201d in reference to the wave of protests that removed pro-Kremlin leaders from Georgia in 2003 and Ukraine in 2005. Hu also added that China and Russia would work together to resolve the situation and resist alleged outside interference.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRussia and China won&#8217;t allow the [United States] and the West to push Kazakhstan into long-term turbulence,\u201d Hu tweeted on January 6.<\/p>\n<p>A New Era <\/p>\n<p>Kazakhstan\u2019s quick descent into chaos in a matter of days is likely to send shock waves across the wider region well into the future.<\/p>\n<p>Toqaev\u2019s government tried at first to placate the demonstrators, restoring the subsidized prices on various types of fuel and removing Nazarbaev &#8212; who had become a primary target in the protests &#8212; as head of the country\u2019s influential National Security Council. Toqaev also forced the government to resign and appointed new figures to high-ranking roles, even replacing a nephew of Nazarbaev in the process.<\/p>\n<p>But such moves have done little to calm the wider economic and political resentment toward the government that had built up over decades, leaving the Kazakh authorities with few untested responses beyond the use of force and support from the CSTO.<\/p>\n<p>Three decades of authoritarian rule have not left much to build on in the Central Asian country, with Nazarbaev and his Nur Otan party dominating the political landscape and his allies and relatives having a stranglehold on the media.<\/p>\n<p>The government has tried in the past to calm widespread discontent with limited reforms and shifting government roles.<\/p>\n<p>In 2019, Nazarbaev stepped aside to be formally recognized as the \u201cleader of the nation,\u201d allowing him to hold tremendous formal and informal power.<\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/4596889F-7EB7-4AD0-AA74-9AADCA1B8112_w250_r0_s.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"Kazakh President Qasym-Zhomart Toqaev (left) with his predecessor, Nursultan Nazarbaev (file photo)\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Kazakh President Qasym-Zhomart Toqaev (left) with his predecessor, Nursultan Nazarbaev (file photo)\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/4596889F-7EB7-4AD0-AA74-9AADCA1B8112_w250_r0_s.jpg\"><\/noscript>     Kazakh President Qasym-Zhomart Toqaev (left) with his predecessor, Nursultan Nazarbaev (file photo)    <\/p>\n<p>He tapped Toqaev to be his successor and the longtime Nazarbaev loyalist&#8217;s first order of business as president was to rename the country\u2019s capital from Astana to Nur-Sultan in honor of his predecessor.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKazakhstan has shown that you can have leadership change without really having regime change, and they can do it again,\u201d Luca Anceschi, a professor of Eurasian Studies at the University of Glasgow, told RFE\/RL.<\/p>\n<p>This has left Kazakhstan with a relatively limited political scene and no high-profile opposition figures, raising questions about the future direction of the current protests and how they could unite to enact meaningful changes.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe protests don\u2019t really have any specific leader and there isn\u2019t a consolidated opposition, which means that the regime could still recuperate,\u201d Erica Marat, an associate professor at the National Defense University in Washington, told RFE\/RL.<\/p>\n<p>      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/8c8e0000-0aff-0242-91ab-08d9d13a91c9_w250_r1.jpg\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"Fear And Hunger: Reporters In Kazakhstan Describe Tense Mood\" title=\"Fear And Hunger: Reporters In Kazakhstan Describe Tense Mood\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/8c8e0000-0aff-0242-91ab-08d9d13a91c9_w250_r1.jpg\" alt=\"Fear And Hunger: Reporters In Kazakhstan Describe Tense Mood\" title=\"Fear And Hunger: Reporters In Kazakhstan Describe Tense Mood\"><\/noscript>        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"\/Content\/responsive\/img\/player-spinner.png\" class=\"lazyload\" alt=\"please wait\" title=\"please wait\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/Content\/responsive\/img\/player-spinner.png\" alt=\"please wait\" title=\"please wait\"><\/noscript>             Embed    share        Fear And Hunger: Reporters In Kazakhstan Describe Tense Mood        Embed    share           The code has been copied to your clipboard.         width  px   height  px              The URL has been copied to your clipboard                        <\/p>\n<p class=\"ta-c\">No media source currently available<\/p>\n<p>               0:00  0:02:52             0:00                                            <\/p>\n<p>The situation on the ground continues to change quickly and getting a clear picture of what is happening in Kazakhstan is proving difficult amid a nationwide Internet blackout and travel restrictions as security forces carry out \u201canti-terrorist\u201d operations in Almaty, the heart of the protests.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, regional governments will continue to watch events closely as the Kazakh government looks to hold onto power.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCSTO contingents won\u2019t solve any of the domestic issues [or] alleviate economic and political grievances,\u201d said Marat. \u201cThey will deepen authoritarianism in Kazakhstan and may cause an even larger escalation of protests.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<!--noindex--><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.rferl.org\/a\/kazakhstan-unrest-neighbors-analysis\/31642718.html\">Source<\/a><!--\/noindex--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>KAZAKHSTAN-PROTESTS\/ &#8212; Troops are seen at the main square where hundreds of people were protesting against the government, after authorities&#39; decision to lift price caps on liquefied petroleum gas, in Almaty, Kazakhstan January 6, 2022. REUTERS\/Mariya Go &nbsp; The first flights carrying Russian troops to Kazakhstan to help the embattled government quell an unprecedented wave [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6090,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/gdb.rferl.org\/08ef0000-0a00-0242-e961-08d9d0ea540f_cx0_cy2_cw0_w250_r1_s.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[87],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news-from-russia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>For Kazakhstan&#039;s Autocratic Neighbors, Unrest Is A Warning And A Test - Learn Russian<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mediateka.online\/learnrussian\/for-kazakhstans-autocratic-neighbors-unrest-is-a-warning-and-a-test.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"For Kazakhstan&#039;s Autocratic Neighbors, Unrest Is A Warning And A Test - Learn Russian\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"KAZAKHSTAN-PROTESTS\/ &#8212; Troops are seen at the main square where hundreds of people were protesting against the government, after authorities&#039; decision to lift price caps on liquefied petroleum gas, in Almaty, Kazakhstan January 6, 2022. 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